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NewsDanish elections 2026

Danish elections: Find out which party is most humane on immigration and asylum issues, and the latest result predictions before tomorrow's elections.

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Important practical tips for election day are in the last paragraph of the article.

As polling stations open tomorrow, Tuesday, March 24, 2026, all eyes in Europe are on Denmark for one of the most closely contested parliamentary elections in recent history. The latest polls from Voxmeter and YouGov indicate a very close race, making it difficult to predict the composition of the next government before the last ballot is counted. (List of parties and blocs below)

See also | The majority of Danes want more Muslim immigrants to leave Denmark than to come to it

The latest election survey data indicates that the center-left camp led by Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, despite its historic and disastrous decline, still maintains a slight advantage. Polls predict the Red Blok (Rød Blok) will win up to 48.91% of the vote, equivalent to 85 to 86 seats. Within this camp, the strategic shift of the Social Democratic Party (Socialdemokratiet) is noteworthy. The party has moved to the right and adopted a hardline stance on immigration and refugees to maintain its popular support. It now supports a policy that allows for the deportation of foreigners convicted of serious crimes, even if they have received only a one-year prison sentence.

Meanwhile, the Socialist People's Party (SF), led by Pia Olsen-Der, made significant gains with 13.61 TP3T, becoming the second largest party behind the leader. This voting bloc is further strengthened by the Radical Party (Redikale Venstre), led by Martin Lidegaard, and the Unity List (Enhedslisten), led by Bille Dragstedt.

Within this wing, the Alternative party, led by Franziska Rosenkilde, stands out as the only party that has rejected the deportation of foreign criminals and seeks an alternative approach to the issue from a human rights perspective. This makes it the most sympathetic party to immigrants and refugees in the country, surpassing the Unity List party (Enhedslisten) and the other parties of the Red Bloc.

On the other hand, the center-right Blue Blok (Blue Blok) appears remarkably cohesive, with a projected vote share of 45.41%, which would give it between 77 and 80 seats. This bloc generally agrees on very hardline policies, including opposing Arab and Islamic influences in Denmark and combating so-called parallel societies. This camp is led by the Venstre party, headed by Troels Lund Poulsen, alongside the Liberal Alliance, led by Alex Vanopslag, the Conservative Party (Det Konservative Folkeparti), led by Mona Juul, and the Danish Democrats (Danmarksdemokraterne), led by Inger Støjberg. The Danish People's Party (Dansk Folkeparti), led by Morten Messerschmidt, stands out. Its ultimate and fundamental demand for supporting any government is ensuring net emigration of Muslims from Denmark, with the number of those leaving exceeding the number of those arriving, while simultaneously seeking to impose strict restrictions on religious symbols and mosques.

Amid this sharp polarization, the importance of the Moderate Party (Moderaterne), representing the pragmatic center and led by former Prime Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen, becomes apparent. Projections indicate the party will garner 5.81% of the vote. This party could play a kingmaker role, determining the next prime minister should neither of the two major blocs secure the absolute majority of 90 seats.

The proposed wealth tax, education reform, and the stance on the Greenland crisis are among the key factors shaping voters' opinions. With a significant number of undecided voters remaining until the last minute, anything is possible in tomorrow's election, which will define Danish politics for the next four years.

This is a summary of some of the most prominent details of the Danish parties' election programs regarding immigration and asylum.

The Danish People's Party (Dansk Folkeparti) and its hardline stance towards the Islamic presence.

The Danish People's Party (Dansk Folkeparti), led by Morten Messerschmidt, is presenting the most radical demand in this election. The party has declared that its support for any future government is contingent upon the implementation of a policy guaranteeing net Muslim emigration from Denmark—that is, striving to increase the number of Muslims leaving Denmark beyond the number arriving. The party also demands the retroactive abolition of permanent residency permits and their replacement with renewable temporary permits, linking continued residency to full employment and a clean criminal record. Furthermore, the party adopts an explicitly anti-Islamic and anti-Arab stance, viewing these as obstacles to integration and threats to Danish cultural values. It calls for a ban on religious symbols in public spaces and stricter oversight of cultural institutions affiliated with religious communities.

The Blue Bloc agrees with policies of cultural exclusion

The parties within the Blue Bloc generally agree on the need for stricter security and cultural measures. The Venstre party, for example, calls for Danish citizenship to be temporary, requiring a five-year period before being granted permanent citizenship, making it easier to revoke in cases of criminal activity. These parties, including the Danish Democrats (Danmarksdemokraterne) led by Inger Støjberg and the Conservative Party (Det Konservative Folkeparti), also share a commitment to combating what they call "parallel societies"—a term used to describe neighborhoods with a predominantly immigrant population—and to imposing strict restrictions on the construction of mosques and private schools, as well as working to reduce any non-Danish cultural expressions in public spaces.

The Alternative party is the only party that defends human rights on the issue of permanently expelling criminals from Denmark.

In contrast, the Alternative party, led by Franziska Rosenkilde, stands out as the only party in the Danish political landscape that takes a completely uncompromising stance against forced deportation. The party categorically rejects the deportation of foreign criminals who have family ties or were raised in Denmark, advocating instead for addressing crime through rehabilitation and social integration programs rather than expulsion. The Alternative party bases its position on human rights principles and international agreements, believing that Denmark should be a safe haven and more compassionate towards refugees and migrants. This makes it the most liberal and open party on asylum issues compared to all other parties, including those on the center-left.

Social Democratic Party (Socialdemokratiet) وAdopting the right-wing approach

The Social Democratic Party (SPD), led by Mette Frederiksen, thwarted the right-wing parties by adopting a comprehensive “deportation reform” that allows for the expulsion of foreigners convicted of serious crimes such as rape or aggravated violence, even if they have received only a one-year prison sentence. This shift brought the party very close to the demands of the Blue Bloc on immigration, isolating smaller left-wing parties like Alternative for Germany (AfD), which now struggle alone to defend more flexible asylum policies.

Map of parties and blocs in Danish politics

Red Bloc parties:

  • Socialist People's Party — Socialistisk Folkeparti (SF)
  • Radikale Venstre
  • Unified List — Enhedslisten
  • Alternative Party
  • The Social Democratic Party — Socialdemokratiet (has moved to the right and become strict on the issue of immigrants and refugees)

Blue Bloc parties:

  • Venstre
  • Liberal Alliance
  • Conservatives — Det Konservative Folkeparti
  • Danish People's Party — Dansk Folkeparti
  • Danish Democrats — Danmarksdemokraterne
  • Citizens — Borgernes Parti

Middle pragmatistThe Moderate Party

Practical tips for the voting process

Asma Abbas

A Danish Arab media professional with a master's degree in media, a journalist and presenter on Arab satellite channels, a registered member of the official Danish Media Council, an international trainer, an architect, and an international peace ambassador in an organization registered with the United Nations.

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